T-Commerce Sale Prediction Using Deep Learning and Statistical Model 


Vol. 44,  No. 8, pp. 803-812, Aug.  2017
10.5626/JOK.2017.44.8.803


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  Abstract

T-commerce is technology-fusion service on which the user can purchase using data broadcasting technology based on bi-directional digital TVs. To achieve the best revenue under a limited environment in regard to the channel number and the variety of sales goods, organizing broadcast programs to maximize the expected sales considering the selling power of each product at each time slot. For this, this paper proposes a method to predict the sales of goods when it is assigned to each time slot. The proposed method predicts the sales of product at a time slot given the week-in-year and weather of the target day. Additionally, it combines a statistical predict model applying SVD (Singular Value Decomposition) to mitigate the sparsity problem caused by the bias in sales record. In experiments on the sales data of W-shopping, a T-commerce company, the proposed method showed NMAE (Normalized Mean Absolute Error) of 0.12 between the prediction and the actual sales, which confirms the effectiveness of the proposed method. The proposed method is practically applied to the T-commerce system of W-shopping and used for broadcasting organization.


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  Cite this article

[IEEE Style]

I. Kim, K. Na, S. Yang, J. Jang, Y. Kim, W. Shin, D. Kim, "T-Commerce Sale Prediction Using Deep Learning and Statistical Model," Journal of KIISE, JOK, vol. 44, no. 8, pp. 803-812, 2017. DOI: 10.5626/JOK.2017.44.8.803.


[ACM Style]

Injung Kim, Kihyun Na, Sohee Yang, Jaemin Jang, Yunjong Kim, Wonyoung Shin, and Deokjung Kim. 2017. T-Commerce Sale Prediction Using Deep Learning and Statistical Model. Journal of KIISE, JOK, 44, 8, (2017), 803-812. DOI: 10.5626/JOK.2017.44.8.803.


[KCI Style]

김인중, 나기현, 양소희, 장재민, 김윤종, 신원영, 김덕중, "딥러닝과 통계 모델을 이용한 T-커머스 매출 예측," 한국정보과학회 논문지, 제44권, 제8호, 803~812쪽, 2017. DOI: 10.5626/JOK.2017.44.8.803.


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