Search : [ keyword: prediction ] (66)

Event Cognition-based Daily Activity Prediction Using Wearable Sensors

Chung-Yeon Lee, Dong Hyun Kwak, Beom-Jin Lee, Byoung-Tak Zhang

http://doi.org/

Learning from human behaviors in the real world is essential for human-aware intelligent systems such as smart assistants and autonomous robots. Most of research focuses on correlations between sensory patterns and a label for each activity. However, human activity is a combination of several event contexts and is a narrative story in and of itself. We propose a novel approach of human activity prediction based on event cognition. Egocentric multi-sensor data are collected from an individual’s daily life by using a wearable device and smartphone. Event contexts about location, scene and activities are then recognized, and finally the users’’ daily activities are predicted from a decision rule based on the event contexts. The proposed method has been evaluated on a wearable sensor data collected from the real world over 2 weeks by 2 people. Experimental results showed improved recognition accuracies when using the proposed method comparing to results directly using sensory features.

MOnCa2: High-Level Context Reasoning Framework based on User Travel Behavior Recognition and Route Prediction for Intelligent Smartphone Applications

Je-Min Kim, Young-Tack Park

http://doi.org/

MOnCa2 is a framework for building intelligent smartphone applications based on smartphone sensors and ontology reasoning. In previous studies, MOnCa determined and inferred user situations based on sensor values represented by ontology instances. When this approach is applied, recognizing user space information or objects in user surroundings is possible, whereas determining the user’s physical context (travel behavior, travel destination) is impossible. In this paper, MOnCa2 is used to build recognition models for travel behavior and routes using smartphone sensors to analyze the user’s physical context, infer basic context regarding the user’s travel behavior and routes by adapting these models, and generate high-level context by applying ontology reasoning to the basic context for creating intelligent applications. This paper is focused on approaches that are able to recognize the user’s travel behavior using smartphone accelerometers, predict personal routes and destinations using GPS signals, and infer high-level context by applying realization.

A Path Fragment Management Structure for Fast Projection Candidate Selection of the Path Prediction Algorithm

Dongwon Jeong, Sukhoon Lee, Doo-Kwon Baik

http://doi.org/

This paper proposes an enhanced projection candidate selection algorithm to improve the performance of the existing path prediction algorithm. Various user path prediction algorithms have previously been developed, but those algorithms are inappropriate for a real-time and close user path prediction environment. To resolve this issue, a new prediction algorithm has been proposed, but several problems still remain. In particular, this algorithm should be enhanced to provide much faster processing performance. The major cause of the high processing time of the previous path prediction algorithm is the high time complexity of its projection candidate selection. Therefore, this paper proposes a new path fragment management structure and an improved projection candidate selection algorithm to improve the processing speed of the existing projection candidate selection algorithm. This paper also shows the effectiveness of the algorithm herein proposed through a comparative performance evaluation.

A Path Prediction-Based Sensor Registry System for Stable Use of Sensor Information

Dongwon Jeong, Migyeong Doo

http://doi.org/

The sensor registry system has been developed for instant use and seamless interpretation of sensor data in a heterogeneous sensor network environment. However, the existing sensor registry system cannot provide information for interpretation of the sensor data in situations in which the network is unstable. This limitation causes several problems such as sensor data loss, inaccuracy of processed results, and low service quality. A method to resolve such problems in the aspect of software is presented herein. In other words, an extended sensor registry system is proposed to enable the stable use of sensor information, even under conditions of unstable network connection, by providing sensor information with a mobile device in advance through the user path prediction. The results of experiments and evaluation are also presented. The extended sensor registry system proposed in this paper enhances the stable usability of sensor information as well as improves the quality of sensor-based services.

A Pretrained Model-Based Approach to Improve Generalization Performance for ADMET Prediction of Drug Candidates

Yoonju Kim, Sanghyun Park

http://doi.org/10.5626/JOK.2025.52.7.601

Accurate prediction of Absorption, Distribution, Metabolism, Excretion, and Toxicity (ADMET) properties plays an important role in reducing clinical trial failure rates and lowering drug development costs. In this study, we propose a novel method to improve ADMET prediction performance for drug candidate compounds by integrating molecular embeddings from a graph transformer model with pretrained embeddings from a UniMol model. The proposed model can capture bond type information from molecular graph structures, generating chemically refined representations, while leveraging UniMol’s pretrained 3D embeddings to effectively learn spatial molecular characteristics. Through this, the model is designed to address the problem of data scarcity and enhance the generalization performance. In this study, we conducted prediction experiments on 10 ADMET properties. The experiment results demonstrated that our proposed model outperformed existing methods and that the prediction accuracy for ADMET properties could be improved by effectively integrating atomic bond information and 3D structures.

Time Series Data Imbalance Resolution Techniques for Early Prediction

Eungseon An, Taehyoung Kwon, Doguk Kim

http://doi.org/10.5626/JOK.2025.52.7.593

Time series forecasting is a critical task that involves analyzing observed time series data to predict future values. However, when dealing with imbalanced data, model performance can degrade, leading to biased predictions. Although recent studies have explored various deep learning techniques and data augmentation methods, many fail to address challenges posed by data imbalance and the intrinsic characteristics of time series data simultaneously, leaving underlying issues unresolved. This study proposed a novel approach that could leverage temporal patterns to generate synthetic samples and extend the scope of early prediction. By identifying key moments that could effectively distinguish between positive and negative classes, our method enhanced the ability to predict further into the future. The method proposed in this study demonstrated superior performance to existing methods and proved the feasibility of early prediction for longer time lags.

Analysis of QoQ GDP Prediction Performance Using Deep Learning Time Series Model

Yeonhee Lee, Youngmin Kim, Taewan You

http://doi.org/10.5626/JOK.2022.49.10.873

In this paper, we proposed an algorithm for predicting GDP growth rate using a deep learning time series model spotlighted recently. The proposed algorithm adopts an ensemble deep learning method to ensure stable prediction performance using a large number of economic time series data with low frequency. It also uses a gradual learning method to ensure adaptive performance even in business fluctuations. By demonstrating that the performance could be improved by using economic sector information in learning, the necessity of convergence with domain knowledge was confirmed and the importance of AI operation technology to provide adaptive predictive power was emphasized. Through performance comparison with traditional machine learning models for the COVID-19 period, we proved that deep learning could be a relatively reasonable predictive tool under rapid economic fluctuations. The deep learning-based adaptive AI algorithm presented in this paper is expected to be developed into a deep learning-based autonomous adaptive economic prediction system through combination with AI operation technology.

Knowledge Graph Embedding with Entity Type Constraints

Seunghwan Kong, Chanyoung Chung, Suheon Ju, Joyce Jiyoung Whang

http://doi.org/10.5626/JOK.2022.49.9.773

Knowledge graph embedding represents entities and relationships in the feature space by utilizing the structural properties of the graph. Most knowledge graph embedding models rely only on the structural information to generate embeddings. However, some real-world knowledge graphs include additional information such as entity types. In this paper, we propose a knowledge graph embedding model by designing a loss function that reflects not only the structure of a knowledge graph but also the entity-type information. In addition, from the observation that certain type constraints exist on triplets based on their relations, we present a negative sampling technique considering the type constraints. We create the SMC data set, a knowledge graph with entity-type restrictions to evaluate our model. Experimental results show that our model outperforms the other baseline models.

Knowledge Graph Embedding for Link Prediction using Node-Link Interaction-based Graph Attention Networks

Junseon Kim, Myoungho Kim

http://doi.org/10.5626/JOK.2022.49.7.555

Knowledge graphs are structures that express knowledge in the real world in the form of nodes and links-based triple form. These knowledge graphs are incomplete and many embedding techniques have been studied to effectively represent nodes and links in low-dimensional vector spaces to find other missing relationships. Recently, many neural network-based knowledge graph link prediction methods have been studied. However existing models consider nodes and links independently when determining the importance of a triple to a node which makes it difficult to reflect the interaction between nodes and links. In this paper, we propose an embedding method that will be used to analyze the importance of triple units by simultaneously considering nodes and links using composition operators, and at the same time prove that the model outperforms other methods in knowledge graph link prediction.

RESEDA: Software REliability Model SElection using DAta-driven Software Reliability Prediction

Nakwon Lee, Duksan Ryu, Ilhoon Cho, Jeakun Song, Jongmoon Baik

http://doi.org/10.5626/JOK.2022.49.6.443

To solve the model generalization problem, i.e., there is no single best model that fits all types of software failure data, model selection techniques and data-driven reliability prediction techniques have been proposed. However, model selection techniques still wrongly select some failure data, and the reliability metrics that the data-driven techniques can observe are limited. In this paper, we propose a software reliability model selection technique using data-driven reliability prediction to improve the prediction accuracy with obtaining reliability metrics. The proposed approach decides either selection or data-driven for target failure data using a classifier generated from historical failure data sets. If data-driven is chosen, the proposed approach builds an augmented failure data using the prediction results of the data-driven technique and selects a model for the augmented data. The proposed approach shows a 21% lower median value of the mean error of prediction compared to the best technique for comparison. With the improved reliability prediction accuracy using the proposed approach, the higher software reliability is achieved.


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